Future chat group - Chapter 896

c886 Leave no escape route

If capital that is neutral and wait-and-see enters the market and participates in bearishness, it will of course be the final word. If it participates in raising the U.S. dollar index, it will be a disaster for the Thunder and Yajin Investment.

Fortunately, Lei Hao’s actions are in line with the long-term interests outside North America. Most institutions still want to see if there is a chance to successfully attack the US dollar. The probability of entering the market now is very slim.

“The problem is, the probability of participating in a sniper attack is very slim.” Lei Hao was extremely satisfied with this situation: “When the time is right, they don’t need to have book profits, they only need to see long-term benefits, and the capital forces of various countries will bring their own solid food to the scene. Sniper.”

“On May 10th, 510 depreciated, why exactly?” The date for the US dollar depreciation prompted by future information is getting closer and closer. It stands to reason that the risks and costs of future information transmission will be reduced, but Lei Hao has not received any definite variables at all.

Obviously, this is because I don’t want to know the reason for the decline of the US dollar, but I definitely point out that the depreciation of US$510 is a certain event.

However, what Lei Hao couldn’t figure out was, what possibility is there in North America that would allow the dollar to depreciate? Even if there is a war, the dollar can appreciate directly under the protection of the US military.

Unless… there is a situation where the whole world is shorting the US dollar and North America is unable to take action, North America will admit defeat.

Using certain quantities to infer variables, Lei Hao couldn’t figure out many clues. It’s like you know that people will die, but who knows how they die?

For the financial circle, what everyone is sure of is that Lei Hao is already on the verge of life and death.

There have been several cases of sniping at the U.S. dollar in the past few decades, but they all failed in the end, but this is the first time that one person has launched a sniper attack. This can be summed up as market behavior.

If I’m short on you, I’ll enter the market and go short. What a smooth market principle.

The members of the board of directors of Yajin Investment already have the reputation they want. Regardless of whether they win or lose, they are figures engraved in the history of world finance.

As the hedging progressed, the senior executives of Thunder and Yakin Tou began to feel frightened, and this sentiment was also conveyed to Lei Hao through document reports.

Yanjing time, April 27, Friday.

“We currently bear more than 200 billion U.S. dollars in bearish exposure. The U.S. dollar assets that are in storage and difficult to sell have been hedged or similar to close the bullish positions. Our cooperative institutions also allow us to use these assets as collateral to mobilize funds.”

“At the current rate, when the outcome of the Fed’s interest rate meeting is announced, we will have a bearish exposure of approximately RMB 800 billion, and the leverage is not too high.”

“But the excessive calm in the market has gradually increased the pressure on us. Except for Thunder and Yajin Investment, we can’t see any signs of third-party capital forces entering the market.”

“In addition, in order to avoid the risks caused by the turmoil in the Asia-Pacific, the trading department has shifted the contract coverage area to Europe and gold, oil and other targets with commodity currency attributes…”

In the office, Lei Hao was listening to Leo, Ye Liu and others’ reports.

Now, Lei Hao has nothing to do except bear the pressure. The elites from Thunder and Yajintou all know how to operate.

The Asia-Pacific is in turmoil, and North America hopes to win over other capital forces, so we will shift the target and directly use contracts to cover Europe and divert the trouble eastward.

Guiding the world through finance is indeed an extremely simple matter. North America, the Thunder and Yajin Investment are all extremely proficient in these techniques.

There are not many tricks that everyone can play, and the current situation is that North American institutions do not dare to add too much risk exposure to the Thunder and Yajin Investment.

No matter which side it is, if it dares to invest too much, third-party institutions will have to step in. On the contrary, this tug-of-war situation is more in line with the interests of both sides.

But everyone knows that this situation can only last until the day when the Federal Reserve discusses interest rates. At that time, the two sides must fight decisively, and whether the wait-and-see forces enter will directly determine whether Lei Hao can win.

Whether to enter the market to attack the US dollar for long-term benefits, or to avoid risks and allow North America to successfully dominate the world again, there are many considerations that need to be made.

Lei Hao and Ya Jin Tou are worried that the wait-and-see forces will not enter the market, but what Lei Hao can be sure of is that the wait-and-see forces will definitely enter. 510, there will be a suitable time, although he does not know what time it is.

Therefore, the top executives of Thunder and Yajintou were frightened, but Lei Hao was still as confident as ever.

It is precisely because of Lei Hao’s stability that the two relatively immature financial institutions of Thunder and Yajin Tou can remain stable. Whether it is Thunder or Yajin Tou, as long as the soul figure Lei Hao does not lose confidence, everyone can be confident. Have expectations for the future.

“It’s too slow. We can bear greater risk exposure.” Lei Hao shook his head. He had already made this decision. From the future information, we can see that even if we increase the amount of energy, the market will not be able to do so before 510. Let Lei Lei and Yajin invest to blow up their positions.

If he holds a hedging exposure of 1 trillion, Lei Hao will lose 10 billion for every 1% increase in the U.S. dollar index. If it is 2 trillion, that is 20 billion.

The amount Lei Hao can use for hedging now is 140 billion. However, he does not only have 140 billion. He also has the support of various contract terms. The simplest one is that he does not need to provide additional guarantees before the liquidation. Forehead.

In other words, if 140 billion is used to leverage 2.8 trillion, and a loss of 1% is 28 billion, then Lei Hao will not be able to lose 140 billion until he loses 5%, that is, the U.S. dollar index rises by 5%, so his contract will not be Needs to be flattened.

So is it possible that the U.S. dollar index will rise by 5%? Outsiders don’t know, but Lei Hao knows that it’s possible!

Lei Hao has been trying to reap maximum profits, that is to say, trying to increase the exposure. In the end, according to future information reminders, when the exposure increased to more than 2 trillion, the U.S. dollar index could not break 104.5 before 510.

In other words, if he cannot blow up his position, then according to the analysis of subordinates such as Lei Hao and Yajin Investment, a risk exposure of hundreds of billions is not suitable for Lei Hao. He can increase the magnitude of hedging and increase The amount of expected return also… magnifies the risk.

“Add more positions?” In the office, a group of senior executives from Thunderbolt and Yajintou looked confused.

Now, almost all of Yajin Investment’s investment department are from the Thunder, and the Thunder’s top management has actually known Lei Hao’s plan for a long time.

The problem is that according to the current hedging scale, even if he loses, Lei Hao will not go bankrupt. Lei Hao can afford to win or lose tens of billions of dollars.

And as long as you win, in addition to a little less monetary gain, the gains in other areas will not be much less, so why should you increase your position? Just for money? Everyone is so poor that only money is left.

“If we don’t try our best, others will not be willing to enter. What we want is that there is no way out.” Lei Hao shook his head and said.

The atmosphere in the room suddenly became solemn.